Friday Estimates: The Lion King Plummets, Hollywood Celebrates

July 27, 2019

Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood

The Lion King had a decidedly un-family-friendly fall on Friday, earning $22.30 million. This is 71% lower than the film’s opening Friday and this is a terrible result for a family film. The movie will bounce back over the rest of the weekend, but a 60% decline to about $76 million is much lower than our prediction. Granted, the movie will still make more than enough money to break even, but it will be yet another profitable disappointment. We’ve had far too many of those and not enough films matching their potential at the box office this year.

Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood earned second place, with $16.85 million on Friday putting it on pace for just over $40 million for the full weekend. This would be the best opening of Quentin Tarantino’ career, topping Inglourious Basterds. Its reviews are certainly an asset, while its B from CinemaScore suggests audiences were not as enamored with the movie as critics were. This will likely hurt the its legs, but we will worry about that next week.

Spider-Man: Far From Home earned $3.51 million on Friday to put it on pace for $13 million over the full weekend. This matches expectations perfectly, so there’s not much more than needs to be said.

Toy Story 4 earned $3.00 million on Friday and should finish with $10 million over the weekend, as expected.

Likewise, Crawl is also matching expectations with $1.14 million on Friday and $3 million over the weekend. So many films matching expectations means I did my job well, but it also means I don’t have anything to add.

- Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood Comparisons

Filed under: Friday Estimates, Toy Story 4, Spider-Man: Far From Home, The Lion King, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood, Crawl, Quentin Tarantino