Weekend estimates: jackass forever posts healthy $23.5 million

February 6, 2022

jackass forever

jackass forever was the hot favorite to win going into the weekend, and it’ll win in some style, as it appears to have gained momentum as the weekend has progressed. On Friday morning our model predicted an $18.1-million opening weekend for the stunt-reality-comedy movie. Paramount projected a $20.7-million weekend on Saturday morning once they’d seen Friday’s numbers, and have now upped that to a projected $23.5 million this morning. While that’s not huge by the standards of the franchise (Jackass 3D opened with over $50 million back in 2010, for example), it’s a very respectable figure by pandemic standards, and a welcome increase in business for movie theaters that have lacked new content in recent weeks. Moonfall’s $10-million debut is more disappointing, but also a little ahead of where things looked based on its modest Thursday previews.

Here’s how the domestic numbers look this morning (note that the projection for The Wolf and the Lion is unofficial)…




In all, seven out of nine movies are outperforming expectations this weekend, and the market as a whole will increase by around 80% from last weekend. jackass is easily the biggest contributor to the good weekend in dollar terms, but the continued strength of Spider-Man: No Way Home and Sing 2 suggests that part of the reason for the good weekend is audiences returning to theaters as the “Omicron wave” comes to an end.

That market trend is potentially good news for Death on the Nile, which arrives in theaters on Friday, and will need to bring in older audiences, who have largely shunned movie theaters over the past couple of years.

The performance of Moonfall is disappointing, but not hugely so. Our model expected it would earn somewhere around $10 million to $15 million going into the weekend, and $10.005 million falls within that range, if only barely. Its $150-million production budget was reportedly split between many international partners, so no-one will take a huge hit from its modest performance.

Spider-Man: No Way Home is now toeing the $750-million line domestically, with a $9.6-million weekend projected to take it to $748.95 million by the end of the day today. Unless it falls dramatically in the next couple of weekends (and there’s no particular reason to think that it will), it should pass Avatar’s $760 million to become the third-highest grossing film of all time domestically sometime this month. Internationally, No Way Home picked up another $15.6 million this weekend for an overseas gross of $1.027 billion, and $1.77 billion worldwide. It still has a Chinese release in its sights, which could take it past $2 billion globally—only the sixth film to achieve that feat.

- Weekend studio estimates
- All-time top-grossing movies in North America
- All-time top-grossing movies worldwide

Bruce Nash,

Filed under: Weekend Estimates, Sing 2, Death on the Nile, Moonfall, jackass forever, Spider-Man: No Way Home, Jackass