Weekend Estimates: Bad Boys Enjoy Life at the Top

February 2, 2020

Bad Boys for Life is extending its run at the top of the chart the weekend with Sony projecting a total of $17.675 million as of Sunday morning. That’s down 48% from last weekend, which is another solid hold, and takes the film to the brink of $150 million at the domestic box office—it’s expected to have around $148 million by close of business. The studio is baking in a big 71% drop today thanks to competition with the Super Bowl, so it may end up doing just a little better than predicted.

International numbers for Bad Boys are looking even better, with a weekend gross of $30.8 million, down only 38% from last weekend, and an international total of $142.7 million to date. The film should breeze past $300 million globally in the next few days (its total stands at $291 million as of today). It opened with $1.7 million in Brazil, and $1.1 million Japan, and has passed $10 million in total in four markets now: the United Kingdom ($14.8 million), Germany ($12.7 million) Mexico ($10.5 million), and Australia ($10.0 million). Russia and France aren’t far behind, with $9.1 million and $8.2 million respectively.

1917 holds on to second spot again in its sixth weekend in release overall, and fourth weekend playing wide. Universal projects $9.66 million for the weekend, for $119 million in total domestically. Its international run continues apace, with $20.9 million in total this weekend, for an overseas total of $129.8 million, and a global tally now up to $249.1 million. Its 39% fall this weekend is good, but not spectacular for an Oscar favorite. Its performance at the awards next weekend will be a big factor in its box office future.

Dolittle stays in third place this weekend, down a respectable 37% to $7.7 million in its third weekend in release, for $55.2 million in total domestically. It is projected to pick up another $17.7 million internationally, for a worldwide total of $126.6 million. That number excludes $1.4 million in Saturday previews in the UK (which will be included in the movie’s opening weekend tally in that territory next weekend). Good launches in Mexico (a chart-topping $3.7 million), Germany (also number 1, with $2.8 million), and Italy (second place, with $2.2 million) are helping to keep up the momentum, and it looks likely Dolittle will at least avoid embarrassment by topping its production budget at the global box office. That still leaves it deep in financial trouble, unfortunately.

Gretel & Hansel is the top new opener, with $6.05 million for United Artists. That’s not terrible, but it is slightly below expectations, and a C-minus CinemaScore doesn’t bode well for its long-term chances.

The Gentlemen and Jumanji: The Next Level round out the top five, and are basically neck and neck, at $6.01 million and $6.00 million respectively. The Gentlemen’s hold, at 44% down, is a decent performance for its second weekend, and STX are probably looking at their $7-million investment for domestic rights as a good one. It will pass $20 million by the end of the weekend, and should be profitable for the studio once it gets into the home market.

Jumanji will be even more profitable for Sony of course, with this weekend’s $6 million taking it to $291 million in total so far domestically. It’ll add another $5.3 million internationally, and cross the $750 million milestone worldwide. International earnings now stand at $463.6 million, and its global total is $754.8 million.

Paramount’s The Rhythm Section is a total bust, with the studio projecting an opening weekend of just $2.8 million from 3,049 theaters. That’s an unmitigated disaster for a film that cost $50 million to make. Its sole consolation may be that its C+ CinemaScore is fractionally better than Gretel & Hansel’s.

One last note, The Assistant is opening with an average of $21,176 in four theaters according to estimates. This is a great start for this time of year, and much better than projections, so perhaps this is a sign that word-of-mouth will allow it to expand significantly.

- Weekend Box Office Chart
- Friday Box Office Chart
- Thursday Box Office Chart

- Friday Estimates: Bad Boys Beat Up Newcomers
- Thursday Previews: Gretel Gets off to a Faster Startthan Rhythm
- Weekend Predictions: Box Office Looks Far From Super
- Theater Counts: 1917 Becomes the Widest Release After Dolittle Drops

- 2019 Domestic Chart
- 2020 Domestic Chart

Bruce Nash

Filed under: Weekend Estimates, Bad Boys For Life, Dolittle, The Rhythm Section, The Grudge, Jumanji: The Next Level, The Turning, The Gentlemen, 1917, Gretel & Hansel, The Assistant, Bad Boys