Weekend Estimates: Black Panther’s $108-Million Weekend Sets Up $650-Million Domestic Run
February 25, 2018
The party is just getting started for Black Panther. With Disney’s official weekend estimate in, it looks like the latest from the Marvel Universe is already just one day away from being the franchise’s highest-grossing movie for a film built around a single character, and it is on course to top The Avengers as the biggest Marvel movie of them all. That’s thanks to a projected $108 million weekend that sets some records of its own.
Only three films had earned more than $100 million their second weekend before now, and Panther will be the fourth for certain. If Disney’s $108.046 million projection holds up, it will have the second-best second weekend of all time, ahead of Jurassic World’s $106.6 million, and behind only The Force Awakens’ $149 million Christmas-fueled second outing.
It’s also on course to hit $400 million after ten days in release, if only fractionally: Disney’s end-of-weekend projection is that the film will have $400,000,422 in the bank. $422 isn’t much margin for error, and the projection might be erring very slightly on the optimistic side. In any case, it’ll certainly be the third-fastest film to $400 million, and almost certainly just behind Jurassic World, which reached the mark in ten days itself, and had a fractionally higher $402.8 million total at that point.
All of which puts Black Panther in exalted territory. As our comparison chart shows, Panther is running neck-and-neck with The Last Jedi, Jurassic World, and The Avengers at this point in its run. The film it is tracking most closely so far is Jurassic World, which, as already noted, reached $400 million at the same pace, and went on to make a domestic total of $652 million. That looks like the number to beat for Black Panther, and it’s actually trending slightly better than Jurassic World, when accounting for the fact that Jurassic World’s weekday numbers were helped by playing in the Summer.
All that adds up to a place in the top five movies of all time at the domestic box office (not adjusted for inflation). There’s a way to go, but Black Panther’s most remarkable feat looks likely to be that it will top The Avengers to become the top-grossing film in the Marvel franchise.
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Filed under: Weekend Estimates, Black Panther, Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Last Jedi, Marvel Cinematic Universe